CHELSEA VS WATFORD
Chelsea have two routes into the Champions League next season, although they will be looking to do it via finishing in the top-four as opposed to gambling on winning the Europa League.
Like their top-four rivals, form has been an issue in recent weeks with three consecutive games without victory in the Premier League. Maurizio Sarri’s side were held by Burnley in their last home game.
In Watford, they also face a side who have two routes into Europe. They will qualify for the Europa League if they beat Manchester City in the FA Cup final, while a seventh-placed finish would see the same outcome should they lose at Wembley.
As expected given Chelsea’s home form this season, Watford are huge 8/1 outsiders here but that doesn’t mean they won’t get their opportunities.
Despite being beaten by both Manchester clubs in recent trips, they did manage to find the net on both occasions, that’s alongside a combined seven goals in visits to Cardiff and Huddersfield.
They are a side who carry an attacking threat and that will be an issue for Chelsea, particularly without the presence of Antonio Rudiger at the back as he misses out through injury.
One player who has enjoyed a positive season, and seemingly likes playing against the top teams is Abdoulaye Doucoure. The Watford midfielder has had direct involvement in eleven goals this season, with strikes coming against Manchester City, Manchester United and Everton.
He sits fourth for shots taken in this Watford side with an almost 50/50 split on those coming from inside the area or out of it. It demonstrates an ability to try and score from different areas of the pitch, which may be handy against a team with a strong home record.
ARSENAL VS BRIGHTON
Brighton could have their Premier League status confirmed by the time this game comes around, which will be a relief as their poor run is likely to continue away to Arsenal.
Chris Hughton’s side sit four points above the drop zone and are winless in their last eight games in all competitions. Six of those have been defeats and there are fears of a return to the Championship among the Albion faithful.
Like Chelsea, Arsenal have two chances of making the Champions League next season. They sit two points behind the Blues but have one foot in the Europa League final after a 3-1 win over Valencia in their semi-final first leg.
They know that they will still be in with a chance of a top-four finish on final day though given an expected victory here. The Gunners have only been beaten twice on home soil in the league this season, and Brighton aren’t equipped enough to make that three.
With a home win and over 2.5 goals in the match trading at even money, and Arsenal at -1.25 on the Asian Handicap, it’s clear to see how the hosts are expected to find the net on multiple occasions.
With that in mind, there’s value in another big-priced goalscorer selection, and that’s Granit Xhaka to score from outside the penalty area at a huge 18/1 with Sky Bet.
The midfielder came under criticism after he gave the ball away in the lead up to Valencia’s opener last time out, but he has been a solid performer on the whole for Arsenal this season and he could rectify that on Sunday.
He’s scored four goals this season, which isn’t bad going considering there have been games missed due to a groin injury in the latter stages of the campaign.
This is a snippet of how we analyze our games and come up with sure tips. Today Sunday, we have 10 sure odds going for a price of 250 shillings. If interested, send ‘GAME’ to 0758271865. Our Paybill Number is still faulty but we will unveil a new one next week. You will therefore transact directly to 0758271865 for the moment.